NAIL Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares

$NAIL Don't set your stops too close on this one. I've been watching how the fund takes out key stops and then pushes it up again. Looking at the volume, the big boys are in the accumulation phase. WeBull is showing an 86.04% bullish rating out of 40 institutions. After getting very close to the ATL and 52-week low, this looks like it only has one way to move. (of course, I have been wrong before)

$NAIL Bigger the drop, the bigger the future bounce. It's not like all home builders are going to all bankrupt and US will never build new houses. LOL This is highly cyclical sector that is heavily influenced by rates and economy. I expect multi-bagger out of this eventually once Iran war ends, rates tank, and NAIL rebounds big like it always have done. That said, this could drop much lower so accumulate gradually. $KBH $PHM $DHI $TOL

$NAIL zoom out on the 5 year chart....notice how at every dip it was right around September to October Then look at the next peak ... Always 4 months later

$NAIL $SOXL $STRL — CPI dump = PPI pump, same story.. then Opex wild card I had to sell my losers to average down on faster recovery items (risky) but added on above three basically today… Now we wait From 10 holdings to 5 only now, each about 20% $NAIL $SOXL $META $STRL $AMTX

$NAIL The real estate market is heavily discounted, and with the end of higher for longer and inflation under control, this has a lot of potential for upside momentum

I started reloading $NAIL today and have 26.33. I broke up the order into tiny chunks this time, since I don't know the bottom for today. To trade 3x leverage NAIL, you must do this, otherwise, you can lose big: 1. Buy in small increments. 2. Increase distance between subsequent DCAs 3. Preserve lots of cash to buy much more at much lower price (if necessary) 4. Think about this - can you handle NAIL dropping to $5? I'm not saying it will, but it can if the war escalates and oil goes super high. For me, I maintain high amount of cash that I would be delighted if NAIL goes to $5 because that can turn into 500 to 1000% gainer once the housing market recovers. But if you become impatient and use up all funds too quickly, you are likely going to sell this out of panick when it drops big - whereas I welcome it by have lots of cash to buy deep discounts. 5. If you are not disciplined to do this, then avoid this 3x leverage. $KBH $DHI $TOL $PHM

The 10Y yield is attempting to break under 5% !!! That's a great news for housing sector !!! $NAIL $LOW $HD $TOL $DHI

$NAIL potential catalysts: housing affordability legislation, falling construction costs, better than feared earnings, institutional rotation, short covering, builder incentives, inventory stabilization Negatives: hotter than expected inflation/stagflation, weak earnings, deteriorating employment, rising inventories, housing policy disappointment, rising construction costs, broad market correction

$NAIL Fed Williams sees no need for rate hike in 2027 and sees signs inflation will slow “quite a bit”. Also surprise on home sales to the upside today https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-13/fed-s-williams-currently-sees-no-need-for-rate-hike-in-2027

$NAIL could this drop further, of course. Will it, who knows. Extreme downside is highly unlikely, bottom is forming in housing at the moment, but won’t last long. Too much demand and minimal inventory. Rates and oil prices are the 2 pressures…but still… major and small cities still building and can’t put this stuff up fast enough. Just flew to Huntsville AL of all places to scope out some real estate investments (only new development). Unreal how lil’ ol’ Huntsville is booming. An Nof1 and microcosm, just my 2 cents 🐂’ish

$NAIL BUY! Just keep adding. This will boom soon enough. Sep/Oct are worst months for this ETF. Track it back last 5yrs you’ll see. Always rallies. 🐂

$NAIL once there is a bonafide end in sight to the war, oil drops (which it will) and interest rates get relief (moreover dove’ish comments from the Fed) this thing will fly. More homes are needed and supply isn’t there. 🐂

$NAIL bond vigilante are at it… rates will go down.. I added some more yesterday and today.. will sell half position around 30$,, rinse and repeat half, keep half intact

$NAIL I think this still have room to go down. Everything is expensive. Building, eating, travelling. No one is upgrading or investing in home or real estate or building out beside data center. Ill wait till $10 then buy

$NAIL this gets a 25 or 26. I start buying? Trump has cooked the housing market. What a moron.

$NAIL berkshire bought LENN, drunkenmiller bought DHI... and they are both red. super discounted right now

$NAIL SOH will open, oil goes down, yield go down, no more 2nd hike… Berkshire buying housing companies, housing market will have best recovery fomo chase next year

$NAIL I picked up 500 shares this morning at 28.95. I would like to hold this for a few days to at least get my S/L above by entry price. Maybe we will see $30 today...

$NAIL okay, I’ve accumulated 1000 units of this puppy averaging down to $30.28 cost basis. Was early but if the sentiment changes we could see a face ripper. Lots of short interest in companies like Lennar that Berkshire has a huge position in now. I expect the housing concerns to be discussed with upcoming mid-terms. Bar is set so low here albeit economic data is not cooperating with yields going berserk. 81% change of pause for next fed decision with hike likely in December. Let’s see….

$NAIL If we enter into a recession, this will drop significantly. I’d like to see it around $5 again like during Covid. What a buying opportunity