SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

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Space Exploration Technologies Corp., doing business as SpaceX, operates as an aerospace manufacturer, launch service provider, and satellite communications company. It is building the integrated hardware and software infrastructure of the future across space, connectivity, and AI. The firm designs, manufactures, launches, and operates products and services built on cutting-edge technologies, including the rockets and spacecraft. The company was founded by Elon Reeve Musk in 2002 and is headquartered in Starbase, TX.

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A

SpaceX

SpaceXs quarterly earnings beat, first reported profit since its IPO, and strong outlook for AI-computing growth have driven bullish discussion, with traders also pointing to sharply higher planned infrastructure spending as support for the broader AI trade. Others question the valuation and whether heavy capital needs, potential dilution, and upcoming share unlocks could limit gains; Tesla merger discussions are a secondary topic, with no deal assured.

Super Micro Computer, Inc. engages in the distribution and manufacture of information technology solutions and other computer products. Its products include twin solutions, MP servers, GPU and coprocessor, MicroCloud, AMD solutions, power supplies, SuperServer, storage, motherboards, chassis, super workstations, accessories, SuperRack and server management products. The company was founded by Charles Liang, Yih-Shyan Liaw, Sara Liu, and Chiu-Chu Liu Liang in September 1993 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

Super Micro Computer Inc

Super Micros preliminary fiscal first-quarter update, with revenue and gross-margin expectations raised on stronger AI-platform demand, is driving the discussion. Many traders see the update as a major beat that could prompt short covering and a valuation reassessment, while skeptics remain cautious about the companys execution and credibility.

Netflix, Inc. engages in providing entertainment services. It also offers activities for leisure time, entertainment video, video gaming, and other sources of entertainment. It operates through the United States and International geographic segments. The company was founded by Marc Randolph and Wilmot Reed Hastings on August 29, 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.

Netflix Inc.

Netflix Inc

Netflixs earnings beat on profit with revenue roughly in line, but softer fourth-quarter guidance, slowing growth and a reduced advertising outlook triggered a sharp selloff. Traders are divided between buyers who view the reaction as overdone given the companys profitability and buybacks, and bears concerned about engagement, competition and weaker growth prospects.

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems. It operates through the Automotive and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture, sale, and lease of electric vehicles as well as sales of automotive regulatory credits. The Energy Generation and Storage segment is involved in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of solar energy generation, energy storage products, and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, TX.

Tesla Inc

Tesla and SpaceX have formed independent committees to explore a potential merger, fueling intense speculation that the companies could combine; no agreement has been reached, and a deal is not certain. Traders are divided between enthusiasm about possible synergies and concerns that the merger is speculative or could disadvantage Tesla shareholders, with earnings also in focus.

Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other varieties of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, AppleCare, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak in April 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

Apple Inc

Loop Capitals downgrade and concerns about weaker iPhone shipments, slowing demand, and rising memory costs are weighing on AAPL ahead of earnings. Traders are divided: bears see the concerns and high valuation as reasons for caution, while bulls point to strong iPhone Duo preorder demand and dismiss the downgrade.

Nebius Group NV is a technology company that provides infrastructure and services to AI builders worldwide. It offers Nebius AI, an AI-centric cloud platform provides full-stack infrastructure, including large-scale GPU clusters, cloud services, and developer tools. The company also operates through specialized brands: Toloka AI, which partners in data for generative AI development; TripleTen, an edtech platform focused on re-skilling individuals for tech careers; and Avride, which develops autonomous driving technology. Nebius Group was founded by Elena Kolmanovskaya, Ilya Segalovich, Mikhail Fadeev, and Arkady Volozh in 1989 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Nebius Group N.V. - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Nebius Group N.V. 

Nebius is caught in a volatile selloff and rebound across AI neocloud stocks, as traders weigh financing and debt concernsespecially around CoreWeaveagainst expectations for continued AI-compute demand. Bulls argue Nebius is better positioned than some peers and view the pullback as an opportunity, while bears remain concerned about funding costs, sector weakness, and whether the AI buildout will generate adequate returns.

IREN Ltd. is a vertically integrated data center business powering the future of Bitcoin, AI and beyond with renewable energy. It is strategically located in renewable-rich, fiber-connected regions across the US and Canada. IREN’s large-scale, grid-connected facilities are purpose-built for the next generation of power-dense computing applications. The company was founded by Daniel Roberts and William Roberts on November 6, 2018, and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

IREN Ltd.

IREN Limited

IREN is drawing attention amid a sharp selloff in neocloud and AI-data-center stocks, as traders debate financing risks and whether the sectors buildout can deliver returns; many highlight IRENs weakness relative to peers, while bulls point to the co-CEOs claims that its data centers are cash-funded and customer demand remains strong.

Myriad Genetics, Inc. is a molecular diagnostics and precision medicine company committed to advancing health and well-being for all. It develops and commercializes molecular tests that help patients and providers uncover genetic insights. The company was founded by Walter A. Gilbert, Mark H. Skolnick, and Peter D. Meldrum in May 1991 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

Myriad Genetics, Inc.

Myriad Genetics agreement to sell its prenatal testing business to Labcorp for cash is driving the sharp move, with traders viewing the proceeds as a way to strengthen the balance sheet and fund its cancer-testing business. The reaction is divided: bulls welcome the cash and strategic focus, while skeptics worry that divesting a revenue-generating unit leaves the remaining business with lower revenue and unresolved debt and execution risks.

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the following segments: Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Compute & Networking. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, Quadro and NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics, virtual GPU, or vGPU, software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing, automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating metaverse and 3D internet applications. The Compute & Networking segment consists of Data Center accelerated computing platforms and end-to-end networking platforms including Quantum for InfiniBand and Spectrum for Ethernet, NVIDIA DRIVE automated-driving platform and automotive development agreements, Jetson robotics and other embedded platforms, NVIDIA AI Enterprise and other software, and DGX Cloud software and services. The company was founded by Jen Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in April 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

NVIDIA Corp

Reports of large Chinese orders for export-compliant Nvidia GPUs are drawing attention, with demand reportedly outstripping planned supply. Traders see the orders as evidence of resilient demand but debate why the shares remain weak amid broader concerns about AI spending, financing, and semiconductor-sector volatility.

Snap, Inc. is a technology company, which engages in the provision of a visual messaging application that was created to help people communicate through short videos and images. The company was founded by Frank Reginald Brown IV, Evan Thomas Spiegel, and Robert C. Murphy in 2010 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

Snap Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Snap Inc

Snaps sharp rally and unusually heavy bullish call activity are driving attention, alongside an activist proposal for Snap to sell a minority stake in its Specs AR-glasses unit to fund development and unlock value. Traders are largely optimistic about a breakout and Specs potential, though some warn the move may fade and are waiting for earnings to confirm improving ad demand and execution.

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RSP, P, MRNA, PTC: Large Inflows Detected at ETF

Looking today at week-over-week shares outstanding changes among the universe of ETFs covered at ETF Channel, one standout is the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (Symbol: RSP) where we have detected an approximate $1.6 billion dollar inflow -- that's a 1.6% increase week ov...

The AI Rally, Mega-Cap Dominance & What Comes Next

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S&P 500’s Narrow Rally Faces Fresh Tests From CPI, Bank Earnings: 3 Charts To Watch This Week

Equity

The S&P 500 has climbed roughly 80% since the start of 2024, but the equal-weight index has lagged as gains concentrate in the largest companies.


Equal-Weight ETFs to Play AI Despite Rising Bubble Concerns

Worried about an AI bubble but don't want to miss the rally? These equal-weight ETFs can help investors stay exposed while reducing concentration risk.

Is Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) a Strong ETF Right Now?

David Ellison Says ‘We’re Not Rewriting History’ With Paramount, Warner Bros. Merger — ‘Together, We Are Skydance’ 

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How to Play the AI Trade With a Core-Satellite ETF Strategy

Unsure whether AI is a bubble or a boom? A core-satellite ETF strategy can help investors pursue AI growth without making an all-or-nothing bet.

Should Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) Be on Your Investing Radar?

Midterm Takes Center Stage: What Does It Mean for Markets & ETFs?

Trump's midterm push, election uncertainty and AI's political scrutiny could shape markets. Explore ETFs positioned for potential sector and post-election gains.

Notable ETF Inflow Detected - RSP, ZBRA, CRL, EXPE

Looking today at week-over-week shares outstanding changes among the universe of ETFs covered at ETF Channel, one standout is the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (Symbol: RSP) where we have detected an approximate $827.8 million dollar inflow -- that's a 0.8% increase week...

Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust - Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF

Bearish Sentiment

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>The VIX-to-three-month volatility ratio is near the low end of its two-year range, suggesting investors are paying relatively little for near-term protection.</li><li>Regional banks are underperforming the broader market, putting loan quality, funding costs and net interest income in focus as earnings season begins.</li><li>Wednesday's September CPI report could shift expectations for the Federal Reserve's next move and test the market's confidence.</li></ul>The stock market looks calm, but three charts suggest a more complicated picture. The S&amp;P 500 is near record highs even as its rally remains concentrated, options markets show limited demand for near-term protection, and regional banks continue to lag. September inflation data and a fresh round of bank earnings could test that uneasy balance this week.<h2 class="st-heading-2">The S&amp;P 500 Rally Is Becoming More Concentrated</h2>The S&amp;P 500 has climbed roughly 80% since the start of 2024, but gains have not been evenly distributed across the market. The market-cap-weighted index has outpaced its equal-weight counterpart by about 16 percentage points, underscoring how much the rally has depended on a smaller group of large-cap stocks.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/koyfin_20261012_062138208_5bc62f1017.png" alt="koyfin_20261012_062138208.png" width="2400" height="1240"><figcaption>SPX vs. RSP/SPY charted year-to-date. | Source: Koyfin</figcaption></figure>The rally has also narrowed since the spring 2026 low. Concentration is not a sell signal, but it changes the risk. An index held up by a few names is more exposed to a single earnings miss or a jump in yields.&nbsp;Strong inflation data this week could complicate the outlook for rate cuts and weigh on risk appetite, while a softer reading could help support stocks beyond the market’s biggest names.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a> (SPY) traded flat in pre-market trade on Monday. On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around the ETF trended in ‘bullish’ territory over the past day.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Options Markets Show Little Demand For Near-Term Protection</h2>The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) is often called Wall Street’s fear gauge. It measures how much investors are paying for insurance against near-term swings in the S&amp;P 500. This chart compares that short-term price with the price of insurance three months out. Right now short-term protection is cheaper, which is what you’d expect when nobody is worried about the next few weeks.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/koyfin_20261012_062400454_0d301d3d6e.png" alt="koyfin_20261012_062400454.png" width="2400" height="1240"><figcaption>VIX/VIX3M vs. SPX charted year-to-date. | Source: Koyfin</figcaption></figure>A reading below 1 suggests traders are pricing in less near-term volatility than volatility over a longer horizon. The ratio is near the low end of its two-year range.The spikes above 1.0 are sharp and short-lived. They came in August 2024, December 2024 and April 2025, the last of which peaked near 1.28. In each case, the move came fast and with little warning.&nbsp;That calm could hold if economic data and corporate results reassure investors. However, a hotter inflation reading or an earnings surprise could quickly change the picture, making the reaction in volatility markets worth watching.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Regional Banks Continue To Lag</h2>Big banks have not moved as a group this year.&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/C">Citigroup</a> (C) is up 11.1% and&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/MS">Morgan Stanley</a> (MS) is up 7.0%.&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/JPM">JPMorgan</a> (JPM) is up 3.3% and&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/GS">Goldman Sachs</a> (GS) is up 1.9%.&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/BAC">Bank of America</a> (BAC) is down 1.2%, and&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/WFC">Wells Fargo</a> (WFC) is down 10.4%. That is a spread of more than 20 points between the best and worst names.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/koyfin_20261012_062025417_8cec0ffe43.png" alt="koyfin_20261012_062025417.png" width="2400" height="1240"><figcaption>Big banks and KRE/SPY year-to-date. | Source: Koyfin</figcaption></figure>Meanwhile,&nbsp; the regional bank ETF relative to the S&amp;P 500 is at 0.0886, its lowest level of the year. Higher-for-longer rates can help margins, but they can also raise funding costs and credit worries, and regionals tend to feel that first.&nbsp;The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/XLF">Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund</a> (XLF) edged up as much as 0.3% in pre-market trading. Retail sentiment around the ETF trended in ‘bullish’ territory over the past day.Earnings reports could offer a clearer view of those pressures, particularly through net interest income, deposit costs and loan-loss provisions. The results may help determine whether regional banks’ underperformance reflects lingering sector-specific concerns or a broader risk to financial stocks.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Three ways the week could go</h2><ol><li>A hot inflation report: If inflation comes in above forecasts, expect talk of another Fed hike in October to come roaring back. One outlook noted that a rise in services prices to its highest level since July 2022 means a hot reading would put an October hike back in play. That would hit a narrow market with low insurance coverage, which is the combination we’ve described across the charts.<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.thearmchairtrader.com/global-economic-news/market-outlook-earnings-season-gets-underway-on-tuesday/">&nbsp;</a></li><li>An in-line report:&nbsp;If inflation matches expectations, the market probably breathes out. That keeps the focus on earnings and gives the record highs a chance to hold.</li><li>A cool report:&nbsp;If inflation comes in below forecasts, hike fears should fade. The more interesting question is who benefits. If the rally broadens beyond the largest companies, the first chart will start to heal.</li></ol>Read also:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/mag-7-voices-how-nvidia-microsoft-alphabet-meta-reshaped-ai-this-week/cZxT1H2RBn8">MAG 7 Voices: How Nvidia, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta Reshaped AI This Week</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Traders work before the closing bell at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) (Photo credit should read JOHANNES EISELE/AFP via Getty Images)

The stock market looks calm, but three charts suggest a more complicated picture. The S&P 500 is near record highs even as its rally remains concentrated, options markets show limited demand for near-term protection, and regional banks continue to lag. Se

SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF

Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF

CBOE Volatility Index

Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund

Hold rates steady

Cut 25 bps

Hike 25 bps

Fed decision day is here - Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting with markets pricing a hold at 3.50%-3.75% but watching for a hawkish shift. Vote on what you expect to be decided today, then drop your prediction for the first rate cut or hike in the comments.

What do you expect the Fed to decide at its FOMC meeting today? 
 
Drop a comment with when you expect the first cut/hike to be.

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