AA Alcoa Corp

$AA Q3 '26 Earnings Results & Recap • Reported GAAP EPS of $1.82 up 9200.00% YoY • Reported revenue of $3.7B up 23.67% YoY • Alcoa expects Interest expense to approximate $185M for the year, an increase from the prior projection, as a result of the Notes issuance; Alcoa expects Q4 Alumina Segment Adjusted EBITDA to be consistent sequentially.

Now Alcoa Corporation $AA is getting into data center construction. Live interview on CNBC!

Alcoa shares could move about 6.3% when the aluminum producer reports earnings on Oct. 15 after the market close, according to Bloomberg options data. The stock has exceeded its options-implied move in four of its last eight earnings reports, highlighting elevated volatility around results. On July 16, shares fell 9.3% versus a 4.9% implied move, while in April they dropped 8.6% against an expected 5.5% move. Alcoa has also delivered significant upside surprises. On Oct. 22, 2025, shares jumped 12.3%, more than double the 6.0% implied move, while on Oct. 16, 2024, the stock gained 6.9% versus an expected 5.3% move. The options market is therefore pricing a potentially significant reaction to the upcoming results, with Alcoa’s recent earnings history showing that actual moves can substantially exceed expectations. $AA

Just before close, $AA received over $1M worth of the Very Dated ITM $40 Calls expiring January 19, 2029!

$AA It took a year and half to get this back down to 25-30 last time they pumped it, you want to buy but you know the interest rate cycle and aluminum price tells a different story.

$AA one of the only stocks I own and its looks like it can get worse from here. Just started buying again when it held that 43.50 area late July. Pain trade says a flush to 35 is in the works. Obviously they report soon and that will either save the trade or help it break that 35, oh my. If it dips on the earings but holds down there I am loading the F up on this. Good luck.

The $AA weekly chart is shaping very nicely for a reversal! Trading along the horizontal support + supporting trendline, the $42-43 level may be the bottom 👀 Looking to see a break and retest of $49-50 for breakout confirmation ☺️

$AA took profits on half of calls +260%. From the initial ho humreaction last nite, hard to believe theres much more run to be had. But lets see

$AA Alcoa signed definitive deals to sell part of its Massena East site in New York for up to 315 million dollars, tied to a data center build there. Only 50 to 65 million dollars comes at closing, expected within about six months. The rest is contingent on the project actually getting built and expanding, stretching out to 2030. Management called it the first step toward 500 million to 1 billion dollars of asset sales by 2030. Pretty different cash source than the aluminum price that carried Q3.

$AA AA Stock Rises Overnight: Alcoa CEO Bets On Massena East For Cash Pump As Alumina Market Tightens https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/aa-stock-rises-overnight-alcoa-ceo-bets-on-massena-east-for-cash-pump-as-alumina-market-tightens/cZx0w5uRBs2

AA Stock Rises Overnight: Alcoa CEO Bets On Massena East For Cash Pump As Alumina Market Tightens $AA $FXZ $ZME https://stocktwits.com/news/equity/markets/aa-stock-rises-overnight-alcoa-ceo-bets-on-massena-east-for-cash-pump-as-alumina-market-tightens/cZx0w5uRBs2

$AA market has had 6 hours to process er Showing 70c green in overnight. So, most likely we're going higher tomorrow. Nfa I tried some at 41. Under 41 has been really good $

$AA I bought this because i read there was a shortage of aluminum.Its been down for 5 months now dont get it

$AA Alcoa technically did breakout of this wedge, finishing the week above the upper trendline. It did fade a lot of the earnings move intraday Friday, so will be interesting to watch early next week for continuation higher. The 50 DMA is a good next target at $46.91

$AA I sold my 41.08s at 43.50 Without a doubt, I would have bought them back but was not able to trade in the afternoon. 😭 I'll be buying in overnight market Sunday night

$AA The earnings finally backed up the thesis. My view: AA deserves to be held while QQQ is under pressure, based on its own earnings strength and diversification from AI-heavy tech. - Earnings beat: Q3 adjusted EPS was $1.82 versus $1.51 expected. Net income more than doubled year over year to $483 million. - Operational improvement: Aluminum production increased for the sixth consecutive quarter, while alumina production rose 11% quarter over quarter. Free cash flow was $472 million. - Different market driver: $QQQ is being hurt by concerns over AI spending, debt and higher yields. AA is driven more by aluminum and alumina prices, production efficiency and industrial demand. That independence is valuable when technology sells off. AP News - Additional opportunity: Alcoa's proposed AliGroup acquisition could expand its bauxite, alumina and aluminum asset base; South32 shareholders approved the transaction on October 15

$AA . 🔴 Interest expenses are rising. Alcoa increased its full-year interest expense projection to approximately $185 million following debt issuance for its planned acquisition. 9. 🔴 No increase in full-year production or shipment guidance. Despite stronger-than-expected EPS, the company reaffirmed its existing outlook rather than raising it. 10. 🔴 Working capital efficiency weakened. Days working capital increased from 46 to 50 days, primarily because of higher inventory.

$AA Alcoa beat earnings expectations on October 15, 2026, but its report contains several weaknesses that could pressure the stock after the initial earnings rally. Biggest negative findings 1. 🔴 Revenue missed expectations. Actual revenue was $3.704 billion versus approximately $3.77 billion expected, a shortfall of about $65 million. 2. 🔴 Revenue declined 6.6% quarter over quarter, from $3.966 billion to $3.704 billion. 3. 🔴 Adjusted EPS declined 14.2% sequentially, from $2.12 to $1.82, despite beating analysts' estimates. 4. 🔴 Adjusted EBITDA fell 12.4%, from $901 million to $789 million. 5. 🔴 Aluminum shipments decreased 5% sequentially, indicating lower sales volumes despite improving production. 6. 🔴 Aluminum segment revenue declined 9%, reflecting both lower shipments and weaker realized aluminum prices.

$AA up ~6.5% after Q3 earnings, with strong cash flow and the AliGroup deal on the call. Price is back above the 20-day SMA (~42.50) after tagging 38.85 yesterday. Long idea: entry 42.50–43.10 Stop: 41.30 (under today's low 41.39) T1: 44.20 (early Oct highs) T2: 46.95 (50-day SMA) Key level: 42.50. Losing it on a close kills the bounce. Not financial advice

$AA "Trade Idea 2: Buy the October 40/40.50 Call Spread (35 cents) and sell the October 37 Put for 5 cents." puts expire, sell to close call spread near 50c or watch to max out at close